Issue 1512
On Lizardman’s Constant
September 3, 2025

Hi there!
The problem with polls — particularly large-scale ones — is that a proportion of responders will answer dishonestly, and this is rarely controlled for.
In today’s nugget, published by Slate Star Codex, Scott Alexander discusses this issue, proposing to refer to the contrarian minority with the humorous “Lizardman’s Constant” and suggesting possible ways to work around it.
Read on to learn more!
Slate Star Codex8 min read